Friday, January 18, 2019

Fantasy Scenario 1968-1973

At the start of 1968, Nasser and his inner circle received some unusual visitors. Alien beings secretly arrived with an unusual proposal. They were willing to give Egypt weapons more advanced than any others at the time, and in lavish abundance. All they asked in return was Cairo's full cooperation, to ensure it made the best use of the weapons.

To meet Egypt's air defense needs, the aliens would supply 120 MIG-31 fighters and 200 SU-27s, plus a few dozen modern SAM batteries. For ground attack missions, Egypt would get 250 SU-25s.

The Egyptian Army was to receive 2,000 T-72 tanks modernized to Soviet standards c 1987, plus 2,000 T-80s. It would also get 1,000 pieces of artillery like those sold by Austria to Iraq in the '80s, several thousand modern APCs, 4,000 TOW launchers, many thousands of good trucks, RPGs etc. The aliens were to provide ample spare parts, replacements and ammunition, first for training on all systems and then enough for ten weeks of peak intensity fighting.

To facilitate the crossing of the canal, the ETs sent bridges, boats and ferries similar to those actually used (although Egyptian engineers basically need no help in this area).

Lastly, to deter Israeli use of nuclear weapons, Cairo was to receive 20 medium range ballistic missiles with 300 kiloton warheads.

All of the new gear arrived in Egypt from the spring of 1968 to the fall of 1969. The country had 4-5 years to get ready for war.

In exchange for the armament, Cairo was keep the deliveries as secret as possible, and concentrate on training and absorbing the weapons. There was to be no war of attrition. Egypt was to break its close relations with the USSR, which it no longer needed anyway, and feign an inability to fight. As part of the deception, diplomacy was to be emphasized, however futile.

The aliens delivered weapons at night to Egyptian camps and bases via giant, silent craft with exteriors designed to absorb both light and radar (i.e. practically invisible). All Egyptians receiving the new equipment were warned to keep quiet. There was never any public announcement of deliveries, just deceptive complaints about old gear. New aircraft were to be kept in aircraft shelters (when not in use) while older ones were either sold to foreign governments or kept in plain sight. New tanks were hidden by camouflage netting when satellites passed over. Most training took place west of the Nile, not near the Suez canal or the Mediterranean.

Some security breaches were inevitable. But when a MOSSAD agent reported that creatures from another planet were supplying Egypt with advanced arms, he was forced into retirement. Generally, MOSSAD and the CIA analysts tended to dismiss reports of an arms buildup, because there was no evidence of weapons being unloaded at Alexandria or flown in from other nations.

Syria meanwhile, had become the USSR's number one Mideast client and recipient of arms aid. Deliveries were substantially greater than in real life because the Soviets no longer sent anything to Egypt. Without divulging its source of arms, Cairo assured Syria that it was more than capable of fighting Israel effectively.

Finally on October 6, 1973 Egypt and Syria struck. How would the October war have gone, with Syria and particularly Egypt far better armed than in real life?

Below, modern Soviet armor for Cairo, compliments of ET

7 Comments:

Anonymous Neal Robbins said...

I personally think that it would have gone better for Egypt and Syria. They would have been equipped in a better way.

8:52 AM  
Blogger starman said...

That's quite an understatement Neal. :) An EAF with the MIG-31, SU-27 and SU-25 would've been tremendously more potent than the real one of '73. MIG-31s and SU-27s would've devastated the IAF while SU-25s ravaged Israeli columns carrying supplies and reservists.
On the ground, too, Cairo would've had a vast edge, with T-72s and T-80s, and so many TOWs.

January 19, 2019

3:02 AM  
Blogger Emmanuel Ansu said...

How far would the Egyptian Army have gotten in 1973,with all that great equipment?

4:25 AM  
Blogger starman said...

I think, after heavy initial losses October 6-9 (much worse than in real life) the Israelis would've fallen back to the line of the passes. The Egyptians would've then tried to take the defiles. It might've been slow and costly, though. Even if T-72/80 front armor was impervious to hits the Israelis could've hidden many tanks, waited until Egyptian armor passed them and then fired into their vulnerable sides and rears. The passes might've become a death trap.
I suppose Cairo could've focused on just the Khatmia pass, and after breaking through, outflanked the other defenses, compelling a retreat as far as eastern Sinai. To minimize losses, the attackers could've used airstrikes (napalm) artillery and infantry (with TOWs etc) to assist the armor.

January 26, 2019

5:01 AM  
Blogger Adham said...

Would Egypt have received any Mi-24s? I believe they would be a real tank menace. Also, its ability to transport infantry would make it a much better option than the Mi-8s.

11:51 AM  
Blogger Adham said...

Oh, and here is a video for the funeral of Ahmad Ismael Ali https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GI474z-5K3M

12:42 PM  
Blogger starman said...

The ETs could've sent Egypt a lot more than the stuff mentioned and no doubt, the Mi-24 was formidable. But in this scenario, Egypt already got a tremendous amount of weaponry to fight IDF tanks, such as 4,000 T-72/80s. It wouldn't have been a good idea to include a lot of systems other than the most essential ones, to overcome Israeli jets and armor. Egypt had only a limited amount of skilled manpower. Even if the war of attrition were avoided, and more emphasis put on training, the pool of good talent could've been too diluted if they had to absorb lots of other stuff. I thought it would be best to focus on modern tanks, jets, TOWs and artillery. In this scenario, Egypt doesn't get a big new navy and even SAMs receive lower priority than in real life.
I read that Sadat picked Ismail as Defense Minister because he knew Ismail was dying, therefore was unlikely to oppose his rule. Ismail died around December 1974, surprisingly soon after the October war.

February 9, 2019

4:48 AM  

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